Race 5A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sam Monaghan 12.6% 12.8% 12.8% 13.6% 12.8% 10.2% 10.9% 9.0% 5.3%
Tyler Egeli 8.6% 10.0% 9.4% 10.2% 12.0% 12.7% 13.3% 13.1% 10.8%
Ryan Hamilton 10.1% 10.4% 11.5% 11.2% 12.2% 14.8% 11.5% 11.1% 7.3%
Shea Smith 16.9% 17.3% 14.8% 13.0% 12.4% 10.1% 7.8% 5.1% 2.6%
Declan Botwinick 22.1% 18.9% 17.4% 14.0% 9.8% 8.7% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8%
Nils Tullberg 14.2% 11.9% 13.2% 13.2% 13.2% 11.7% 10.5% 8.0% 3.9%
Hal Clews 5.3% 7.1% 7.1% 9.1% 9.2% 11.2% 13.5% 16.8% 20.7%
Henri Richardsson 5.9% 6.6% 7.4% 8.6% 10.5% 10.6% 14.4% 16.5% 19.6%
Kevin Carse 4.2% 5.0% 6.3% 7.2% 7.8% 10.1% 12.5% 17.8% 29.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.