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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+7.05vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44+6.17vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+8.38vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.49+4.00vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.74+6.12vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.55+5.36vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+0.38vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-2.08vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.73-3.06vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.57-3.32vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.70-4.69vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+1.17vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.81+1.00vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-4.80vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.47-3.61vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.11-3.26vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.68-6.44vs Predicted
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19George Washington University2.51-6.81vs Predicted
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20University of Buffalo0.75-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.17Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.0Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.12SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
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6.47Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.94College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.68Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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7.31Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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14.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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15.0Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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10.2Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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12.39Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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11.56University of South Florida2.680.0%1st Place
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12.19George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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17.96University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mike Carr | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Davidson | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Brady Stagg | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Watterson | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 8.4% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 14.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Adam Keally | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 6.6% |
| AJ Degen | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Rory Mess | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.