Race 6A

pen-bay-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tyler Egeli 8.4% 9.3% 10.9% 10.2% 12.0% 11.9% 14.1% 13.2% 10.2%
Hal Clews 5.9% 6.3% 6.2% 7.8% 9.6% 11.8% 13.8% 16.8% 21.9%
Shea Smith 18.4% 16.1% 16.4% 14.1% 12.0% 9.3% 7.0% 4.8% 1.8%
Nils Tullberg 12.8% 13.9% 12.8% 12.2% 13.5% 12.6% 11.2% 7.8% 3.2%
Declan Botwinick 22.1% 19.1% 17.4% 15.3% 10.0% 7.8% 4.0% 3.2% 1.1%
Sam Monaghan 12.4% 13.2% 12.3% 11.9% 12.5% 13.1% 10.8% 9.4% 4.2%
Henri Richardsson 6.5% 6.8% 7.8% 9.0% 9.2% 10.0% 13.9% 17.0% 20.0%
Ryan Hamilton 9.5% 9.9% 10.3% 13.1% 12.8% 13.8% 12.4% 10.7% 7.4%
Kevin Carse 4.1% 5.3% 5.7% 6.5% 8.3% 9.8% 13.0% 17.1% 30.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.