Race 7A

pen-bay-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nils Tullberg 13.0% 14.3% 14.0% 12.6% 12.4% 12.1% 10.3% 7.2% 4.1%
Shea Smith 17.3% 16.9% 15.1% 13.6% 12.8% 9.0% 7.8% 4.8% 2.6%
Tyler Egeli 8.7% 9.4% 8.6% 11.0% 11.8% 13.7% 13.7% 13.2% 10.0%
Hal Clews 5.1% 5.8% 7.5% 7.3% 9.2% 10.7% 14.5% 19.9% 20.0%
Kevin Carse 3.7% 5.5% 4.9% 7.2% 7.4% 11.2% 11.8% 16.3% 31.9%
Sam Monaghan 13.4% 11.5% 13.2% 13.6% 12.7% 10.9% 10.8% 8.6% 5.4%
Declan Botwinick 22.1% 18.8% 17.6% 14.0% 10.4% 8.6% 5.1% 2.8% 0.7%
Ryan Hamilton 10.1% 11.7% 11.6% 12.4% 13.5% 11.2% 12.7% 11.1% 5.9%
Henri Richardsson 6.8% 6.2% 7.5% 8.3% 9.9% 12.7% 13.2% 16.2% 19.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.