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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.49+2.85vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.71+2.94vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.26+1.54vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31+0.21vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.04vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80-3.63vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.38-1.94vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.14-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Northwestern University1.4917.4%1st Place
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4.94University of Vermont0.7110.4%1st Place
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4.54Northeastern University1.2612.7%1st Place
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4.21Salve Regina University1.3114.0%1st Place
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6.04Maine Maritime Academy0.415.7%1st Place
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5.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.3%1st Place
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3.37University of Rhode Island1.8021.6%1st Place
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6.06McGill University0.386.1%1st Place
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6.7Maine Maritime Academy0.143.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shea Smith | 17.4% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
Ryan Hamilton | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.6% |
Sam Monaghan | 12.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
Nils Tullberg | 14.0% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
Henri Richardsson | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 20.1% |
Tyler Egeli | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 9.0% |
Declan Botwinick | 21.6% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
Hal Clews | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 20.2% |
Kevin Carse | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.