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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-1.04+2.94vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.97-0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.29+1.29vs Predicted
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4American University-1.01-0.11vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.85-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.90-0.83vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-2.09-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94SUNY Stony Brook-1.047.7%1st Place
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1.57Virginia Tech0.9761.3%1st Place
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4.29University of Delaware-1.296.9%1st Place
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3.89American University-1.018.0%1st Place
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3.69Drexel University-0.859.8%1st Place
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5.17University of Maryland-1.903.5%1st Place
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5.45William and Mary-2.092.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Leen | 7.7% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 6.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 61.3% | 25.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 6.9% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 11.8% |
| Lance Shrum | 8.0% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Lucas Randle | 9.8% | 17.9% | 21.0% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 5.5% |
| Caroline Fuller | 3.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 30.2% |
| Jonah Peters | 2.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.