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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.22+2.41vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.36-0.43vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.57-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.01+1.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.72-1.81vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.32-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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4.41University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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2.57University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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3.79University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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5.19University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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7.02California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 22.6% | 24.8% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Hobson | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 4.7% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 31.7% | 23.3% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 14.0% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 16.9% | 32.0% | 26.5% |
| Keely Scates | 13.4% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 23.0% | 20.8% | 8.9% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 20.3% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.