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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.73+6.20vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+6.18vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+3.69vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.73+3.16vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.55+7.25vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.63+6.10vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+2.16vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47+0.10vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.70-1.83vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.44-1.59vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.68+0.79vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+2.25vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.51-0.24vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.81+1.13vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.11-1.05vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.57-8.17vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.72-5.65vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo0.75+0.02vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.98-8.68vs Predicted
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20Fordham University3.52-11.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.16College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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12.25University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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12.1SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.1Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.17Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.41Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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11.79University of South Florida2.680.0%1st Place
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14.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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12.76George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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15.13Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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13.95University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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7.83Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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18.02University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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10.32Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.15Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Corgard | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Degen | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Watterson | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 8.9% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 14.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 6.9% |
| Max Nickbarg | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Rory Mess | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 14.1% | 56.9% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Will Holz | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.