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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.57+6.80vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.70+5.30vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+4.40vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.44+4.39vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47+3.21vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.49+2.30vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-0.16vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.98+2.16vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.63+2.87vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.73-2.81vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.14vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.52-3.78vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-1.11vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.55-1.76vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.68-3.34vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-3.53vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.81-1.98vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.11-3.83vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-5.02vs Predicted
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20University of Buffalo0.75-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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7.3Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.39Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.21Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.84Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.16Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.87SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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7.19College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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8.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.22Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.89University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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12.24University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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11.66University of South Florida2.680.0%1st Place
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12.47George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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15.02Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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14.17University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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13.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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18.04University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Nickbarg | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sean Golden | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| AJ Degen | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 13.6% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% |
| Samuel Watterson | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 6.5% |
| Rory Mess | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 14.4% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.