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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+6.16vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+6.17vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.52+5.19vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.55+8.34vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.57+2.77vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.98+4.54vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.44+1.67vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.70-0.87vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-2.49vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-1.15vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.63+1.03vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.73-4.68vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.51-0.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.00vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.11-1.01vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.72-4.52vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.68-5.44vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.81-2.77vs Predicted
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19University of Buffalo0.75-1.03vs Predicted
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20Georgetown University3.47-11.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.19Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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12.34University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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7.77Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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10.54Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.67Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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7.13Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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12.03SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.71George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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14.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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13.99University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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11.56University of South Florida2.680.0%1st Place
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15.23Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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17.97University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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8.38Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Will Holz | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Max Nickbarg | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Axel Sly | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Brady Stagg | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Samuel Watterson | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 7.7% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 8.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| AJ Degen | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 14.1% |
| Rory Mess | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 56.5% |
| Sean Golden | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.