Race 2A

north-points-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Reddaway 15.4% 17.4% 20.8% 18.3% 15.5% 7.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Jackson Morton 3.5% 3.5% 4.9% 8.6% 11.9% 19.9% 21.6% 14.1% 9.3% 2.7%
Edwin Strong 17.3% 21.5% 21.0% 20.9% 12.1% 5.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
David Rogers 13.2% 16.9% 23.8% 20.8% 14.0% 7.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Noah Blacker 43.3% 29.9% 14.4% 7.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Weber 2.5% 3.8% 4.7% 6.2% 11.7% 15.1% 20.4% 18.4% 12.8% 4.4%
Adam Kaplon 2.8% 3.7% 6.9% 9.7% 17.3% 22.5% 16.2% 13.5% 5.7% 1.7%
Duncan Greeley 0.3% 0.9% 0.8% 2.3% 3.4% 6.3% 9.6% 15.0% 21.4% 40.0%
Zachary Newton 0.9% 1.3% 1.6% 2.7% 4.9% 7.2% 12.5% 19.5% 23.8% 25.6%
Sullivan Madewell 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 2.7% 5.7% 7.6% 12.6% 16.5% 26.4% 25.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.