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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Reddaway 14.9% 18.3% 19.8% 20.1% 14.6% 7.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Noah Blacker 42.9% 27.6% 17.9% 7.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Edwin Strong 17.9% 20.6% 20.8% 21.2% 12.6% 4.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
David Rogers 13.1% 17.9% 20.8% 21.2% 15.4% 8.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam Kaplon 3.4% 5.7% 7.0% 9.8% 15.0% 18.8% 19.8% 13.3% 5.1% 2.1%
Jackson Morton 3.6% 4.4% 5.3% 7.4% 15.7% 17.8% 18.8% 15.0% 9.5% 2.5%
Zachary Newton 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 4.5% 8.4% 13.3% 19.1% 24.6% 25.7%
Matthew Weber 1.8% 2.9% 4.7% 7.0% 11.5% 18.1% 20.0% 18.3% 11.0% 4.7%
Sullivan Madewell 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 2.6% 4.2% 8.4% 12.4% 16.8% 27.6% 24.6%
Duncan Greeley 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 3.7% 6.9% 8.5% 15.0% 21.7% 40.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.