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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+0.58vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.85+1.75vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.04+0.95vs Predicted
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4American University-1.01-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.29-0.74vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-2.09-0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.90-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Virginia Tech0.9760.5%1st Place
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3.75Drexel University-0.859.0%1st Place
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3.95SUNY Stony Brook-1.047.2%1st Place
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3.84American University-1.018.9%1st Place
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4.26University of Delaware-1.297.4%1st Place
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5.43William and Mary-2.093.2%1st Place
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5.19University of Maryland-1.903.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 60.5% | 25.3% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 9.0% | 17.3% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 5.0% |
| Alexandra Leen | 7.2% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 7.9% |
| Lance Shrum | 8.9% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 6.4% |
| Seton Dill | 7.4% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 11.2% |
| Jonah Peters | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 21.1% | 38.4% |
| Caroline Fuller | 3.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 22.6% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.