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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+2.71vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.36+0.58vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.08-0.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.22+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.01+1.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.72-1.79vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.32-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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2.58University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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2.96Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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7.03California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Rupp | 13.9% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 30.3% | 25.4% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Eliza Richartz | 23.6% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ashley Hobson | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 10.6% | 3.5% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 31.6% | 26.9% |
| Keely Scates | 12.9% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 23.0% | 20.9% | 8.9% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 20.4% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.