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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+4.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+3.65vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.76+7.49vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.32vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.37+2.65vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.55+1.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.17vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.22+3.80vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99+0.15vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.62+0.33vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.78-1.99vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-0.89vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.10-7.48vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-5.88vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-3.81vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.69-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Harvard University2.1013.1%1st Place
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5.65Brown University2.0412.0%1st Place
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10.49Bowdoin College0.763.0%1st Place
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5.32Boston College2.0913.4%1st Place
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7.65Yale University1.376.5%1st Place
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7.32Brown University1.556.3%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.0%1st Place
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11.8McGill University0.223.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island0.994.4%1st Place
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10.33Roger Williams University0.623.3%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College0.784.5%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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5.52Dartmouth College2.1011.9%1st Place
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8.12Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
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11.19Boston University0.372.8%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University0.692.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 13.1% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Escobar | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Iona Wyper | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 23.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.8% |
| Sarah Young | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 16.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.