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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+3.38vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01+3.47vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.63+3.59vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.20+2.39vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.68+2.49vs Predicted
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7Marquette University1.50-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04-4.82vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota1.95-3.27vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.92-4.41vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.95-5.27vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.19-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Wisconsin1.630.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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7.39University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Wisconsin0.680.0%1st Place
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6.54Marquette University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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5.73University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Minnesota0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 11.7% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Grimmer | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 20.0% | 20.5% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| David Meyerson | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| David Johnston | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 25.1% | 23.3% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alma Pronove | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 18.2% | 44.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.