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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.37+6.71vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.13vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+2.48vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.21vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.62+4.47vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10-1.40vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.76+2.64vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.78-0.28vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.55-2.75vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.69-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-1.09vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-4.61vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-4.94vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-3.67vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.22-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Yale University1.376.8%1st Place
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5.13Harvard University2.1013.5%1st Place
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5.48Brown University2.0413.6%1st Place
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5.46Boston College2.0912.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.8%1st Place
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10.47Roger Williams University0.623.1%1st Place
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5.6Dartmouth College2.1011.6%1st Place
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10.64Bowdoin College0.762.5%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College0.785.3%1st Place
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7.25Brown University1.556.7%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University0.693.6%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont0.483.0%1st Place
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8.39Northeastern University1.225.6%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island0.993.9%1st Place
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11.33Boston University0.372.3%1st Place
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11.81McGill University0.221.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
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Ximena Escobar | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
Cordelia Burn | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Brielle Willoughby | 13.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Caroline Sibilly | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Emma Snead | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
Caylin Schnoor | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% |
Sarah Young | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Christine Reimer | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% |
Teagan Cunningham | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
Emily Mueller | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
Samantha Jensen | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
Audrey Commerford | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 15.8% |
Eva Ermlich | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
Lucy Paskoff | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 16.7% |
Iona Wyper | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.