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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.53+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.01+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.20+2.41vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.92-0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota1.95-1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.68+0.40vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.63-2.55vs Predicted
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10Marquette University1.50-3.42vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.19-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota1.95-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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3.21University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
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5.74University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Wisconsin0.680.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Wisconsin1.630.0%1st Place
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6.58Marquette University1.500.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Minnesota0.190.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Trepton | 21.9% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 24.2% | 21.3% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 12.7% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| David Meyerson | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Grimmer | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| David Johnston | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Alma Pronove | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 21.1% | 43.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.