Race 4B

toni-deutsch-58

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Caroline Sibilly 14.1% 12.5% 11.0% 8.8% 9.7% 9.5% 8.1% 7.5% 5.9% 4.7% 3.1% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Teagan Cunningham 4.0% 4.7% 5.7% 4.6% 6.3% 6.1% 5.9% 6.3% 7.2% 8.1% 7.0% 8.0% 8.5% 6.8% 6.6% 4.2%
Emma Snead 5.8% 5.3% 5.8% 6.2% 7.0% 7.0% 6.7% 7.4% 7.0% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 6.5% 6.2% 4.4% 2.3%
Brielle Willoughby 11.8% 12.0% 11.9% 10.3% 8.7% 8.1% 9.1% 6.3% 5.7% 5.7% 3.9% 2.1% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Audrey Commerford 3.0% 2.8% 2.5% 2.7% 3.9% 4.4% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 9.0% 10.6% 11.8% 13.7%
Lucy Paskoff 2.6% 2.2% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.5% 3.9% 4.6% 5.5% 5.3% 5.5% 7.8% 9.0% 10.9% 13.4% 16.8%
Cordelia Burn 13.9% 12.8% 11.2% 11.8% 9.2% 9.1% 8.0% 6.0% 5.8% 4.2% 3.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Ximena Escobar 6.2% 6.5% 6.4% 7.0% 6.2% 7.5% 7.3% 7.8% 8.5% 7.0% 6.8% 7.0% 5.3% 6.0% 3.5% 1.1%
Kytalin Hendrickson 4.5% 3.7% 4.3% 5.1% 5.5% 6.3% 6.0% 6.0% 7.6% 7.0% 7.5% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 7.2% 4.9%
Caylin Schnoor 2.8% 3.3% 4.3% 4.6% 4.5% 4.2% 4.5% 5.2% 6.0% 7.1% 7.4% 8.8% 9.7% 8.5% 9.7% 9.6%
Sarah Young 10.4% 11.8% 11.9% 12.1% 10.0% 7.4% 9.0% 6.2% 5.5% 5.0% 4.7% 2.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Emily Mueller 7.3% 7.3% 6.2% 7.1% 8.4% 7.6% 7.8% 7.4% 7.7% 7.6% 7.6% 5.6% 5.2% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
Iona Wyper 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 3.2% 2.8% 4.0% 4.5% 4.9% 5.0% 6.6% 8.2% 10.5% 13.8% 24.7%
Samantha Jensen 3.8% 3.6% 3.5% 3.7% 4.4% 4.4% 5.7% 5.3% 5.6% 6.1% 8.8% 9.3% 9.8% 9.3% 8.9% 7.9%
Eva Ermlich 5.8% 5.1% 6.0% 6.1% 6.6% 7.2% 6.3% 9.3% 6.3% 7.0% 8.3% 7.0% 6.2% 5.1% 5.3% 2.3%
Christine Reimer 2.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 3.8% 4.4% 4.3% 5.6% 5.5% 7.2% 6.3% 7.8% 7.9% 10.3% 11.2% 10.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.