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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+4.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+3.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.22vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+4.96vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.04-0.46vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.55+0.39vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.76+2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+2.15vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.52vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.22+0.79vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.37-4.17vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-1.92vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.78-4.89vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.62-4.81vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.22-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Harvard University2.1014.1%1st Place
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5.47Dartmouth College2.1012.2%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.607.2%1st Place
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5.22Boston College2.0912.6%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University0.693.0%1st Place
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5.54Brown University2.0411.8%1st Place
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7.39Brown University1.555.9%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College0.763.3%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island0.993.4%1st Place
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11.79McGill University0.222.1%1st Place
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7.83Yale University1.375.9%1st Place
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11.08Boston University0.372.9%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College0.784.0%1st Place
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10.19Roger Williams University0.623.1%1st Place
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8.22Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 14.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 16.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Iona Wyper | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 20.9% |
| Ximena Escobar | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 17.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.