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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.53+1.49vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.20+3.60vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04-1.72vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.63+0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.19+2.17vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.68+0.35vs Predicted
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9Marquette University1.50-2.21vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.92-4.39vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.95-5.54vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota1.95-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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5.49University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
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3.28University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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6.47University of Wisconsin1.630.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Minnesota0.190.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Wisconsin0.680.0%1st Place
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6.79Marquette University1.500.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Trepton | 22.1% | 21.0% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 12.3% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 23.9% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Grimmer | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Alma Pronove | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 45.7% | 0.0% |
| David Meyerson | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| David Johnston | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.