← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.10+4.58vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.09+3.28vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.04+2.42vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.55+3.40vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College0.76+5.54vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University0.62+4.29vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.20vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island0.99+1.16vs Predicted
-
9Yale University1.37-1.11vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.22-1.60vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.48-0.04vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.10-6.84vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.37-1.90vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College0.78-5.00vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University0.69-5.16vs Predicted
-
16McGill University0.22-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.58Dartmouth College2.1012.4%1st Place
-
5.28Boston College2.0912.7%1st Place
-
5.42Brown University2.0412.0%1st Place
-
7.4Brown University1.557.2%1st Place
-
10.54Bowdoin College0.763.0%1st Place
-
10.29Roger Williams University0.622.4%1st Place
-
8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.2%1st Place
-
9.16University of Rhode Island0.994.1%1st Place
-
7.89Yale University1.375.9%1st Place
-
8.4Northeastern University1.225.5%1st Place
-
10.96University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
-
5.16Harvard University2.1013.6%1st Place
-
11.1Boston University0.372.4%1st Place
-
9.0Bowdoin College0.784.9%1st Place
-
9.84Tufts University0.693.9%1st Place
-
11.8McGill University0.222.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Ximena Escobar | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.8% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% |
| Iona Wyper | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.