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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+3.40vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01+3.46vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04-0.64vs Predicted
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5Marquette University1.50+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.20+1.44vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.68+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.63-1.67vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.92-3.16vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota0.19-0.75vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.95-5.53vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota1.95-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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3.41University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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6.75Marquette University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Wisconsin0.680.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Wisconsin1.630.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Minnesota0.190.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 20.9% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 22.8% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Johnston | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| David Meyerson | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 22.3% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Grimmer | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Alma Pronove | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 20.3% | 44.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.