← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii3.36+1.21vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.01+3.38vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.72+1.51vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.60vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.08-2.37vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine2.22-2.19vs Predicted
-
7California State University Monterey Bay0.32-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.21University of Hawaii3.360.4%1st Place
-
5.38University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
-
4.51University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
-
3.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
-
2.63Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
-
3.81University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
-
6.06California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 37.9% | 27.7% | 17.7% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 33.2% | 26.1% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 24.8% | 21.9% | 10.0% |
| Keely Scates | 15.1% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 9.1% | 1.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 24.3% | 29.5% | 20.6% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Hobson | 11.5% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 22.5% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 20.1% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.