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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.88+0.82vs Predicted
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2American University-0.61+1.78vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.85+1.29vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.04+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.67-1.03vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.05-1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.29-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Virginia Tech0.8852.7%1st Place
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3.78American University-0.6111.4%1st Place
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4.29Drexel University-0.858.3%1st Place
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4.64SUNY Stony Brook-1.045.9%1st Place
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3.97University of Maryland-0.6710.0%1st Place
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4.53William and Mary-1.057.0%1st Place
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4.97University of Delaware-1.294.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Riecker | 52.7% | 25.6% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Lorson | 11.4% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 8.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 8.3% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 14.7% |
| Alexandra Leen | 5.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 20.3% |
| Charlie Bullock | 10.0% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 9.9% |
| Conor Farah | 7.0% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 19.2% |
| Seton Dill | 4.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.