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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.31vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.14vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+2.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.08vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+3.36vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.99+3.22vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+3.75vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.55-0.44vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10-3.53vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.37-2.22vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37+0.26vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.78-2.98vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.76-2.52vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.69-4.03vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.62-4.92vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.22-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Boston College2.0913.3%1st Place
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5.14Harvard University2.1014.4%1st Place
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5.62Brown University2.0411.6%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.2%1st Place
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8.36Northeastern University1.225.7%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont0.482.3%1st Place
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7.56Brown University1.555.9%1st Place
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5.47Dartmouth College2.1012.7%1st Place
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7.78Yale University1.376.5%1st Place
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11.26Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College0.785.1%1st Place
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10.48Bowdoin College0.762.9%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University0.693.2%1st Place
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10.08Roger Williams University0.623.8%1st Place
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11.89McGill University0.221.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
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Caroline Sibilly | 13.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Cordelia Burn | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Brielle Willoughby | 11.6% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Emma Snead | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% |
Emily Mueller | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
Sarah Young | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Ximena Escobar | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.1% |
Teagan Cunningham | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
Christine Reimer | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% |
Samantha Jensen | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% |
Caylin Schnoor | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
Iona Wyper | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.