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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.01+4.59vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.53+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.20+2.41vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.19+3.34vs Predicted
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7Marquette University1.50-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.63-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.92-3.19vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.68-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.95-5.49vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota1.95-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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4.45University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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7.41University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Minnesota0.190.0%1st Place
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6.56Marquette University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Wisconsin1.630.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Wisconsin0.680.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 23.9% | 20.6% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 12.6% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 21.6% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Alma Pronove | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 47.4% | 0.0% |
| David Johnston | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Grimmer | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| David Meyerson | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 22.1% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.