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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+7.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+3.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.37+4.76vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55+3.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+4.99vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.78+2.97vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+4.07vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-2.91vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37+2.07vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.74vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.22+0.91vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.10-6.57vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.09-7.67vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-5.66vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.76-4.49vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.62-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.8%1st Place
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5.74Brown University2.0411.7%1st Place
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7.76Yale University1.375.6%1st Place
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7.25Brown University1.556.2%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University0.693.8%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College0.784.5%1st Place
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11.07University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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5.09Harvard University2.1013.7%1st Place
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11.07Boston University0.373.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island0.993.9%1st Place
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11.91McGill University0.222.1%1st Place
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5.43Dartmouth College2.1012.2%1st Place
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5.33Boston College2.0913.1%1st Place
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8.34Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
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10.51Bowdoin College0.762.8%1st Place
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10.11Roger Williams University0.623.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emma Snead | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
Brielle Willoughby | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Ximena Escobar | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
Emily Mueller | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Samantha Jensen | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% |
Teagan Cunningham | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.9% |
Cordelia Burn | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Lucy Paskoff | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 16.4% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
Iona Wyper | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 24.7% |
Sarah Young | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Caroline Sibilly | 13.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
Christine Reimer | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 10.7% |
Caylin Schnoor | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.