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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+3.39vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01+3.47vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.20+4.53vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04-1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.92-0.25vs Predicted
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7Marquette University1.50-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.63-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota1.95-3.23vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.68-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.95-5.23vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.19-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
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3.37University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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3.29University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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5.75University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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6.57Marquette University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Wisconsin1.630.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Wisconsin0.680.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Minnesota0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 21.9% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 23.0% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| David Johnston | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Grimmer | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| David Meyerson | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 22.5% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Alma Pronove | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 45.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.