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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.53+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04-0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.20+2.38vs Predicted
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6Marquette University1.50+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.63-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.68+0.40vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.92-3.21vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota1.95-4.51vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.95-5.51vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.19-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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4.29University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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5.69University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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7.38University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
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6.77Marquette University1.500.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Wisconsin1.630.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Wisconsin0.680.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Minnesota0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 21.0% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 15.3% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 20.8% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| David Johnston | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Grimmer | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| David Meyerson | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 21.3% | 25.3% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alma Pronove | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 20.6% | 43.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.