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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+4.23vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+4.40vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+1.90vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+0.67vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.37+1.77vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+0.40vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.55-0.45vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37+1.92vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.72vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.70vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69-2.00vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.62-2.72vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.22-2.60vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Harvard University2.1013.5%1st Place
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6.4Bowdoin College1.848.8%1st Place
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5.54Boston College2.0910.8%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.049.9%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College2.1011.0%1st Place
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7.77Yale University1.376.7%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College1.517.3%1st Place
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7.55Brown University1.556.3%1st Place
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10.92Boston University0.372.3%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.2%1st Place
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9.3University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University0.692.8%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University0.623.5%1st Place
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11.4McGill University0.222.2%1st Place
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8.37Northeastern University1.224.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Young | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Escobar | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 22.2% |
| Emma Snead | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.3% |
| Iona Wyper | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 28.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.