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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.01+4.61vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.53+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.92+0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.20+1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.63-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.68+0.37vs Predicted
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9Marquette University1.50-2.19vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota1.95-4.51vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.95-5.51vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.19-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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3.38University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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5.73University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Wisconsin1.630.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Wisconsin0.680.0%1st Place
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6.81Marquette University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Minnesota0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 14.4% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 20.5% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 22.3% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Grimmer | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| David Meyerson | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| David Johnston | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alma Pronove | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 20.9% | 43.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.