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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.95+3.01vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.19+0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.13+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.34+1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.05+2.96vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.74+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.39-2.07vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.58-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin-0.01-0.81vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota0.07-2.12vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-0.30-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.07-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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2.03University of Wisconsin3.190.5%1st Place
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3.75University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Minnesota0.050.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Wisconsin1.390.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Wisconsin0.580.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Wisconsin-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Minnesota0.070.0%1st Place
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8.55Marquette University-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Minnesota0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Grosch | 10.6% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 45.7% | 25.3% | 16.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 13.3% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Martinson | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| James Sitter | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Hayes | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bammel | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Dragoo | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Potocek | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 28.2% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Dragoo | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.