Race 11B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Cordelia Burn 13.0% 11.6% 10.8% 11.8% 10.3% 8.4% 8.3% 6.8% 5.8% 4.2% 3.9% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Caroline Sibilly 11.7% 12.3% 10.4% 10.8% 9.5% 8.8% 7.3% 8.1% 5.9% 5.9% 3.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Sarah Young 10.9% 10.8% 11.8% 10.4% 8.3% 8.8% 7.8% 6.9% 7.1% 4.8% 5.0% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Ximena Escobar 4.8% 6.5% 6.7% 6.7% 8.0% 6.8% 8.0% 7.3% 7.8% 7.9% 7.6% 7.1% 7.0% 4.8% 3.2%
Brielle Willoughby 11.3% 11.9% 10.5% 10.7% 9.8% 9.3% 7.8% 8.3% 5.9% 4.2% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Emma Snead 5.7% 5.0% 5.8% 5.2% 5.8% 6.2% 8.3% 7.5% 7.8% 7.8% 8.6% 8.4% 7.4% 6.6% 4.1%
Eva Ermlich 5.4% 4.8% 5.9% 5.5% 5.6% 6.0% 7.4% 7.4% 7.6% 8.9% 8.0% 8.4% 7.6% 6.7% 4.8%
Kyra Phelan 6.8% 6.8% 7.2% 7.5% 6.2% 7.5% 6.9% 8.2% 8.9% 7.8% 7.8% 7.1% 5.6% 4.0% 1.6%
Iona Wyper 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% 1.8% 2.9% 3.1% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 5.9% 6.2% 8.3% 9.2% 16.8% 29.2%
Kytalin Hendrickson 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 4.7% 5.8% 5.1% 6.0% 6.0% 6.9% 7.6% 7.7% 10.0% 11.5% 10.8% 6.8%
Emily Mueller 6.6% 6.7% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 7.5% 6.8% 6.8% 3.5% 2.1%
Lucy Paskoff 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 4.7% 3.9% 6.8% 8.0% 8.8% 10.4% 15.2% 21.8%
Caylin Schnoor 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% 3.3% 2.9% 5.0% 4.8% 4.6% 6.2% 6.9% 8.1% 9.3% 12.6% 13.0% 14.2%
Samantha Jensen 3.6% 3.5% 4.0% 3.4% 4.3% 5.2% 5.0% 5.2% 5.7% 6.3% 8.2% 9.8% 11.4% 13.6% 10.8%
Lauren Russler 9.7% 8.8% 8.6% 8.8% 10.5% 8.1% 8.3% 7.3% 8.4% 6.9% 5.5% 3.4% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.