Race 12B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Sarah Young 11.2% 10.2% 10.2% 9.8% 10.1% 9.0% 9.0% 7.1% 6.0% 5.9% 4.1% 4.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Caroline Sibilly 12.5% 11.5% 10.8% 10.8% 8.9% 9.2% 7.7% 7.2% 6.2% 4.9% 4.7% 2.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Ximena Escobar 5.7% 6.2% 6.2% 6.9% 6.2% 7.1% 6.4% 7.1% 7.1% 7.2% 8.3% 8.8% 8.2% 5.7% 2.9%
Lauren Russler 9.8% 9.0% 9.2% 9.3% 8.8% 8.6% 8.6% 7.3% 6.5% 7.4% 6.3% 3.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.5%
Brielle Willoughby 11.4% 11.3% 10.0% 9.1% 9.8% 9.5% 7.6% 7.4% 6.9% 5.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Samantha Jensen 4.0% 3.6% 3.9% 3.2% 4.5% 4.1% 5.1% 5.3% 7.2% 7.7% 7.1% 9.2% 10.7% 13.0% 11.3%
Emily Mueller 7.0% 5.7% 7.0% 6.5% 8.0% 6.9% 7.4% 8.5% 8.2% 8.4% 7.5% 6.9% 5.5% 4.8% 1.9%
Emma Snead 5.1% 5.5% 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 6.9% 7.8% 8.1% 7.5% 7.3% 8.3% 7.8% 7.8% 6.4% 4.5%
Lucy Paskoff 2.2% 2.9% 3.2% 3.4% 2.6% 3.1% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 4.8% 6.8% 8.8% 11.2% 15.2% 21.9%
Cordelia Burn 13.0% 12.0% 11.2% 10.8% 9.8% 8.7% 8.8% 6.9% 5.8% 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Caylin Schnoor 2.8% 2.7% 3.2% 3.6% 4.7% 4.3% 4.5% 4.7% 5.8% 7.2% 9.4% 8.6% 11.0% 13.7% 13.9%
Kytalin Hendrickson 2.9% 4.0% 4.1% 4.9% 5.9% 5.8% 5.8% 6.1% 7.4% 8.6% 8.9% 9.7% 10.7% 9.0% 6.3%
Iona Wyper 2.1% 2.0% 1.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 3.4% 4.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.9% 7.4% 10.8% 15.0% 29.8%
Kyra Phelan 6.0% 7.9% 7.7% 8.5% 6.5% 7.3% 7.3% 8.5% 7.6% 7.8% 6.7% 6.8% 5.8% 4.0% 1.5%
Eva Ermlich 4.4% 5.4% 6.0% 5.4% 5.7% 6.7% 6.7% 6.9% 7.8% 8.2% 8.6% 8.6% 7.4% 7.5% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.