Race 3B

streufert-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Grosch 11.2% 16.0% 17.5% 15.9% 14.7% 11.7% 6.2% 3.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Lee 46.7% 24.5% 15.5% 8.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alison Kent 13.5% 17.3% 19.2% 16.4% 12.3% 10.4% 6.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
James Sitter 6.4% 9.2% 11.4% 13.0% 14.5% 12.3% 12.6% 10.4% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Leslie Poole 7.1% 9.9% 11.5% 13.0% 12.2% 13.0% 13.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Ian Walter 3.4% 5.8% 7.1% 7.8% 10.0% 12.1% 12.4% 12.0% 11.5% 10.9% 7.0% 0.0%
Sterling Dragoo 2.5% 3.7% 3.3% 4.4% 6.0% 7.8% 8.8% 13.0% 14.2% 17.1% 19.2% 0.0%
Greg Bammel 2.5% 2.3% 2.4% 4.4% 5.5% 8.5% 9.3% 11.2% 14.0% 18.4% 21.5% 0.0%
Aaron Martinson 1.8% 3.4% 3.0% 4.5% 4.3% 6.5% 9.1% 11.7% 15.8% 17.6% 22.3% 0.0%
Kate Hayes 3.3% 5.3% 5.4% 7.6% 10.4% 9.4% 12.2% 14.1% 13.4% 12.1% 6.8% 0.0%
Sterling Dragoo 2.5% 3.7% 3.3% 4.4% 6.0% 7.8% 8.8% 13.0% 14.2% 17.1% 19.2% 0.0%
Benjamin Brotz 1.6% 2.6% 3.7% 4.7% 6.6% 7.4% 9.6% 11.8% 14.7% 16.4% 20.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.