← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.84+5.26vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.10+3.52vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.55+4.65vs Predicted
-
4Yale University1.37+3.89vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.04+0.97vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.51+1.35vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.10-1.68vs Predicted
-
8Boston University0.37+2.88vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.09-3.60vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.22-1.51vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University0.69-1.09vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.75vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-4.71vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University0.62-3.82vs Predicted
-
15McGill University0.22-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.26Bowdoin College1.849.3%1st Place
-
5.52Dartmouth College2.1011.7%1st Place
-
7.65Brown University1.556.4%1st Place
-
7.89Yale University1.375.6%1st Place
-
5.97Brown University2.0410.3%1st Place
-
7.35Bowdoin College1.517.2%1st Place
-
5.32Harvard University2.1013.4%1st Place
-
10.88Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
-
5.4Boston College2.0912.2%1st Place
-
8.49Northeastern University1.224.3%1st Place
-
9.91Tufts University0.693.6%1st Place
-
9.25University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
-
8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.9%1st Place
-
10.18Roger Williams University0.622.6%1st Place
-
11.63McGill University0.222.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lauren Russler | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
Sarah Young | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Emily Mueller | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
Ximena Escobar | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
Brielle Willoughby | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Kyra Phelan | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
Cordelia Burn | 13.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 20.8% |
Caroline Sibilly | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
Samantha Jensen | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.7% |
Emma Snead | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
Caylin Schnoor | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% |
Iona Wyper | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.