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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.47vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.30vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.37+4.88vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+1.63vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+0.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+2.38vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84-0.77vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.62+2.41vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.55-1.38vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51-2.63vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37-0.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69-2.10vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-3.71vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-5.70vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.22-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Boston College2.0912.7%1st Place
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5.3Harvard University2.1012.8%1st Place
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7.88Yale University1.375.7%1st Place
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5.63Brown University2.0411.9%1st Place
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5.69Dartmouth College2.1012.3%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.8%1st Place
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6.23Bowdoin College1.849.7%1st Place
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10.41Roger Williams University0.622.8%1st Place
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7.62Brown University1.555.5%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College1.515.9%1st Place
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10.99Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University0.693.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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8.3Northeastern University1.225.7%1st Place
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11.55McGill University0.221.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ximena Escobar | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Young | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 14.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 21.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 6.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Iona Wyper | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.