Race 4B

streufert-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Grosch 10.9% 16.4% 18.7% 14.8% 14.6% 11.6% 6.3% 4.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Lee 45.2% 26.3% 16.0% 7.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Leslie Poole 6.8% 7.5% 11.7% 10.4% 15.6% 12.8% 12.1% 10.8% 7.0% 4.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Alison Kent 13.5% 18.3% 17.6% 18.3% 13.1% 8.2% 6.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
James Sitter 7.3% 10.7% 11.3% 12.7% 12.4% 12.9% 12.4% 9.8% 6.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Sterling Dragoo 2.0% 2.3% 2.9% 5.1% 5.2% 8.3% 9.2% 11.2% 14.9% 19.0% 19.9% 0.0%
Kate Hayes 4.6% 4.8% 4.6% 8.1% 8.9% 12.1% 12.8% 13.3% 13.3% 10.2% 7.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Brotz 2.6% 2.1% 2.8% 5.0% 5.4% 7.9% 9.2% 13.2% 12.8% 18.3% 20.7% 0.0%
Sterling Dragoo 2.0% 2.3% 2.9% 5.1% 5.2% 8.3% 9.2% 11.2% 14.9% 19.0% 19.9% 0.0%
Greg Bammel 1.6% 3.0% 3.2% 4.1% 4.9% 5.4% 8.8% 11.3% 13.1% 19.2% 25.4% 0.0%
Ian Walter 3.7% 6.2% 7.4% 8.6% 9.7% 12.1% 13.1% 12.3% 12.5% 10.3% 4.1% 0.0%
Aaron Martinson 1.8% 2.4% 3.8% 5.2% 7.2% 7.5% 9.3% 11.3% 16.7% 14.7% 20.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.