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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.34+4.36vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.95+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.19-1.90vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.07+3.08vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.74+0.63vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.01+1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.39-2.95vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.58-1.99vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-0.01-1.84vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.07-2.92vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.05-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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2.1University of Wisconsin3.190.4%1st Place
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8.08University of Minnesota0.070.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
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8.0Marquette University0.010.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Wisconsin1.390.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Wisconsin0.580.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Wisconsin-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Minnesota0.070.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Minnesota0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leslie Poole | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 16.4% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 12.3% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 41.8% | 28.9% | 15.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Dragoo | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Brotz | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| James Sitter | 6.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kate Hayes | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bammel | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Dragoo | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Martinson | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.