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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.82vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+4.18vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.28+3.10vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.59+1.24vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.42+0.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-0.33vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.51-3.18vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.42-4.31vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Cornell University2.3817.1%1st Place
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6.18Princeton University1.875.9%1st Place
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6.1Columbia University1.285.5%1st Place
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5.24University of Pennsylvania1.599.4%1st Place
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5.84Fordham University1.426.6%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.556.8%1st Place
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3.82SUNY Maritime College2.5117.6%1st Place
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3.69University of Pennsylvania2.4219.4%1st Place
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4.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1611.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 17.1% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 23.2% |
| Leopold Brandl | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 22.2% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 17.9% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 14.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 17.6% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 19.4% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Will Murray | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.