← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Leslie Poole 5.0% 9.3% 10.8% 12.3% 15.3% 13.5% 13.4% 10.1% 6.4% 2.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Ryan Grosch 13.9% 15.4% 18.1% 15.4% 12.9% 10.5% 7.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lee 42.5% 28.1% 16.4% 6.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alison Kent 14.6% 16.8% 18.4% 16.8% 13.7% 9.1% 5.8% 2.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
James Sitter 7.5% 9.9% 11.0% 13.5% 11.9% 14.6% 11.0% 10.1% 6.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Benjamin Brotz 1.3% 2.6% 3.7% 4.7% 4.6% 8.0% 7.9% 11.9% 13.7% 19.7% 21.9% 0.0%
Kate Hayes 4.8% 4.2% 4.8% 8.3% 8.9% 11.7% 13.2% 12.6% 13.9% 10.4% 7.2% 0.0%
Greg Bammel 2.3% 2.2% 2.8% 4.3% 5.8% 7.3% 9.4% 12.3% 13.2% 19.3% 21.1% 0.0%
Sterling Dragoo 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 3.8% 5.3% 6.0% 8.7% 12.1% 13.6% 19.3% 22.5% 0.0%
Ian Walter 4.6% 5.9% 6.3% 8.9% 10.9% 10.6% 13.2% 12.6% 12.6% 10.3% 4.1% 0.0%
Sterling Dragoo 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 3.8% 5.3% 6.0% 8.7% 12.1% 13.6% 19.3% 22.5% 0.0%
Aaron Martinson 1.4% 2.5% 4.2% 5.6% 6.4% 7.0% 9.8% 11.2% 16.6% 14.7% 20.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.