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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.34+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.95+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.19-0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.13-0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.39+0.18vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.01+2.19vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.58-0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-0.01+0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota0.07-0.83vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.74-3.56vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.07-2.83vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.05-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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2.1University of Wisconsin3.190.4%1st Place
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3.76University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Wisconsin1.390.1%1st Place
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8.19Marquette University0.010.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Wisconsin0.580.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Wisconsin-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Minnesota0.070.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Minnesota0.070.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Minnesota0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leslie Poole | 5.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 13.9% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 42.5% | 28.1% | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 14.6% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Sitter | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Brotz | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Kate Hayes | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bammel | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Dragoo | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Dragoo | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Martinson | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.