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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.88+1.44vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.25+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.72vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.79vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.32+0.27vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17-0.84vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.54-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Cornell University1.8829.8%1st Place
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5.14SUNY Maritime College-0.254.7%1st Place
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2.28University of Pennsylvania1.7734.0%1st Place
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3.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9716.8%1st Place
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5.27Princeton University-0.324.2%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.174.2%1st Place
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4.5Fordham University0.546.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 29.8% | 28.1% | 21.5% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 20.5% | 29.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 34.0% | 30.0% | 18.9% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 16.8% | 18.1% | 23.4% | 20.4% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Carly Mraz | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 24.6% | 28.9% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 27.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 21.7% | 20.9% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.