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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+0.81vs Predicted
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2American University-0.61+1.83vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.85+1.28vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.04+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.67-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.29-1.07vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.05-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Virginia Tech0.9751.5%1st Place
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3.83American University-0.6112.0%1st Place
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4.28Drexel University-0.857.8%1st Place
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4.6SUNY Stony Brook-1.046.0%1st Place
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3.94University of Maryland-0.6710.7%1st Place
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4.93University of Delaware-1.295.0%1st Place
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4.61William and Mary-1.057.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 51.5% | 26.8% | 13.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Lorson | 12.0% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 9.2% |
| Lucas Randle | 7.8% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 14.4% |
| Alexandra Leen | 6.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 19.9% | 18.6% |
| Charlie Bullock | 10.7% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 9.5% |
| Seton Dill | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 27.6% |
| Conor Farah | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.