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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.36+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.72+3.22vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.07vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.08-2.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.22-1.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.75vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.32-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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5.22University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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3.76University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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3.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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2.99Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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7.02California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 33.2% | 24.7% | 18.2% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 25.6% | 19.2% | 9.7% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 13.5% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Keely Scates | 12.0% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 21.3% | 24.1% | 19.6% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Hobson | 9.5% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 3.4% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 32.8% | 27.7% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 21.9% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.