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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Leslie Poole 5.1% 8.5% 12.1% 13.2% 13.5% 14.3% 12.6% 11.4% 5.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.0%
Michael Lee 43.8% 27.5% 14.6% 9.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Grosch 11.4% 15.8% 16.1% 16.0% 14.1% 11.2% 8.7% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
James Sitter 6.5% 8.9% 11.5% 12.7% 15.3% 14.5% 10.6% 10.1% 5.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Ian Walter 4.8% 3.9% 8.3% 8.5% 10.0% 10.3% 11.7% 12.5% 13.3% 10.7% 6.0% 0.0%
Sterling Dragoo 2.1% 2.2% 4.0% 5.0% 5.2% 7.9% 8.1% 11.8% 14.9% 18.1% 20.7% 0.0%
Greg Bammel 1.6% 4.5% 2.8% 3.9% 5.7% 8.1% 8.7% 11.9% 13.9% 17.8% 21.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Brotz 2.9% 1.9% 3.4% 4.3% 5.6% 7.2% 10.6% 11.0% 14.5% 17.5% 21.1% 0.0%
Kate Hayes 3.4% 5.1% 4.6% 6.8% 8.6% 9.9% 13.2% 13.8% 13.0% 12.4% 9.2% 0.0%
Sterling Dragoo 2.1% 2.2% 4.0% 5.0% 5.2% 7.9% 8.1% 11.8% 14.9% 18.1% 20.7% 0.0%
Alison Kent 16.9% 18.8% 19.0% 15.9% 11.4% 7.9% 5.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Martinson 1.5% 2.9% 3.6% 4.5% 7.4% 7.5% 9.9% 10.1% 16.4% 16.9% 19.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.