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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.34+4.33vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.19+0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.95+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.39+1.22vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.74+1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.07+2.06vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.01+1.03vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.01+0.05vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.58-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota0.07-1.94vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.13-7.44vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.05-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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2.06University of Wisconsin3.190.4%1st Place
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4.11University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Wisconsin1.390.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Minnesota0.070.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Wisconsin-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.05Marquette University0.010.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Wisconsin0.580.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Minnesota0.070.0%1st Place
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3.56University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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7.97University of Minnesota0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leslie Poole | 5.1% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 43.8% | 27.5% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 11.4% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sitter | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 4.8% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Dragoo | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bammel | 1.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Brotz | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Hayes | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Dragoo | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 16.9% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Martinson | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.