← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.80vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.42+3.89vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University1.28+3.21vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+1.65vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.42-1.29vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University1.87+0.22vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.38-3.31vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.59-2.82vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.8SUNY Maritime College2.5118.2%1st Place
-
5.89Fordham University1.425.4%1st Place
-
6.21Columbia University1.285.3%1st Place
-
5.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.558.1%1st Place
-
3.71University of Pennsylvania2.4218.9%1st Place
-
6.22Princeton University1.875.8%1st Place
-
3.69Cornell University2.3817.1%1st Place
-
5.18University of Pennsylvania1.599.3%1st Place
-
4.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1611.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 18.2% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 17.4% |
| Leopold Brandl | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 23.4% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 14.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 18.9% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 24.1% |
| Bridget Green | 17.1% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 9.9% |
| Will Murray | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.