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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.19+1.07vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.34+2.42vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.95+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.39+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.58+1.00vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.74-0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.07-0.05vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota0.07-1.05vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-0.01-1.72vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.01-2.89vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.05-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07University of Wisconsin3.190.4%1st Place
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3.61University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.42University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Wisconsin1.390.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Wisconsin0.580.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Minnesota0.070.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Minnesota0.070.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Wisconsin-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.11Marquette University0.010.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Minnesota0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lee | 43.7% | 26.8% | 15.8% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 15.3% | 19.0% | 20.7% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 11.2% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Sitter | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kate Hayes | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Dragoo | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Dragoo | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bammel | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Brotz | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Martinson | 1.9% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.