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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.28vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.88+0.43vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.17vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.25+1.26vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.54-0.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17-0.85vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28University of Pennsylvania1.7733.4%1st Place
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2.43Cornell University1.8831.2%1st Place
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3.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9716.9%1st Place
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5.26SUNY Maritime College-0.253.9%1st Place
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4.48Fordham University0.546.7%1st Place
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5.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.173.9%1st Place
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5.22Princeton University-0.324.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 33.4% | 29.4% | 19.9% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 31.2% | 26.1% | 22.5% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 16.9% | 20.2% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 24.6% | 28.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 11.8% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 24.3% | 27.2% |
| Carly Mraz | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 22.8% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.