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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.73vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+1.85vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.42+2.85vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.87+2.18vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-0.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.34vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.28-1.86vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.59-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Cornell University2.3817.6%1st Place
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3.85SUNY Maritime College2.5116.9%1st Place
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5.85Fordham University1.426.7%1st Place
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6.18Princeton University1.877.0%1st Place
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4.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1611.0%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.557.5%1st Place
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3.66University of Pennsylvania2.4219.2%1st Place
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6.14Columbia University1.286.8%1st Place
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5.3University of Pennsylvania1.597.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 17.6% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 16.9% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 17.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 24.8% |
| Will Murray | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 19.2% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Leopold Brandl | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 23.7% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.