← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.88+1.49vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.28vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.17vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College-0.25+1.22vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University0.54-0.61vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.32-0.73vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.49Cornell University1.8829.1%1st Place
-
2.28University of Pennsylvania1.7734.1%1st Place
-
3.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9718.6%1st Place
-
5.22SUNY Maritime College-0.254.0%1st Place
-
4.39Fordham University0.547.6%1st Place
-
5.27Princeton University-0.323.3%1st Place
-
5.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.173.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 29.1% | 26.6% | 22.3% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 34.1% | 28.1% | 20.8% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 18.6% | 18.3% | 22.6% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 22.4% | 30.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 11.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 23.9% | 29.2% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 24.6% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.