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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.69vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+3.65vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.87+3.28vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.23vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.42+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.59-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.32vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-3.39vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.28-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Cornell University2.3818.6%1st Place
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5.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.556.7%1st Place
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6.28Princeton University1.875.1%1st Place
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3.77SUNY Maritime College2.5118.2%1st Place
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5.89Fordham University1.427.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Pennsylvania1.599.4%1st Place
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3.68University of Pennsylvania2.4218.0%1st Place
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4.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1612.1%1st Place
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6.2Columbia University1.285.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bridget Green | 18.6% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
Jack Vanderhorst | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 13.7% |
Connor Mraz | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 25.3% |
Benton Amthor | 18.2% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
Beckett Kumler | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 16.8% |
Christopher Sharpless | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% |
Jordan Bruce | 18.0% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
Will Murray | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
Leopold Brandl | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.