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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.25vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.88+0.44vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.21vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.54+0.48vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.25+0.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17-0.85vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Pennsylvania1.7734.9%1st Place
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2.44Cornell University1.8829.8%1st Place
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3.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9717.1%1st Place
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4.48Fordham University0.546.6%1st Place
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5.28SUNY Maritime College-0.253.4%1st Place
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5.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.174.2%1st Place
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5.19Princeton University-0.324.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 34.9% | 29.2% | 19.4% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 29.8% | 27.9% | 21.0% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 17.1% | 18.2% | 22.9% | 20.8% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 13.2% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 25.7% | 29.1% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 24.6% | 26.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 22.7% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.