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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+3.63vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.73vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.59+0.24vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.87+0.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-1.42vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.28-1.93vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.42-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1612.2%1st Place
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3.74Cornell University2.3818.9%1st Place
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3.73University of Pennsylvania2.4217.3%1st Place
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3.7SUNY Maritime College2.5118.8%1st Place
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5.24University of Pennsylvania1.599.1%1st Place
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6.36Princeton University1.874.9%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.557.8%1st Place
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6.07Columbia University1.285.3%1st Place
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5.95Fordham University1.425.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 4.4% |
| Bridget Green | 18.9% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 17.3% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 18.8% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 26.8% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 13.6% |
| Leopold Brandl | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 21.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.