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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.88+1.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+3.17vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.54+1.48vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.79vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77-2.70vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.25-0.81vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Cornell University1.8829.1%1st Place
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5.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.174.2%1st Place
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4.48Fordham University0.547.6%1st Place
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3.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9716.6%1st Place
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2.3University of Pennsylvania1.7734.0%1st Place
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5.19SUNY Maritime College-0.254.2%1st Place
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5.18Princeton University-0.324.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 29.1% | 26.1% | 23.1% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 24.4% | 26.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 22.0% | 19.8% | 12.7% |
| Heather Kerns | 16.6% | 19.4% | 22.1% | 20.1% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 34.0% | 29.0% | 19.2% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 22.9% | 28.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.