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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.14vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.76+4.35vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.08vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.42+1.03vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.59-1.60vs Predicted
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7Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-1.69vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.87-2.56vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.81-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Cornell University2.3822.1%1st Place
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6.35SUNY Maritime College0.764.3%1st Place
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3.08University of Pennsylvania2.4224.5%1st Place
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5.03Fordham University1.428.2%1st Place
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3.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1615.0%1st Place
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4.4University of Pennsylvania1.5911.3%1st Place
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5.31Palm Beach Atlantic University1.267.3%1st Place
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5.44Princeton University1.876.0%1st Place
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8.27Columbia University-0.811.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 22.1% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Vail | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 30.3% | 12.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 24.5% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 2.9% |
| Will Murray | 15.0% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Green | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 4.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 4.6% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 11.7% | 72.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.