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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.88+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.29vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.23vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.54+0.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+0.14vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.25-0.77vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Cornell University1.8830.4%1st Place
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2.29University of Pennsylvania1.7733.0%1st Place
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3.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9716.4%1st Place
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4.4Fordham University0.547.4%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.174.5%1st Place
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5.23SUNY Maritime College-0.253.9%1st Place
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5.26Princeton University-0.324.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 30.4% | 26.9% | 21.1% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 33.0% | 28.7% | 21.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 16.4% | 18.9% | 23.0% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 21.1% | 18.7% | 12.2% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 23.2% | 26.9% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 20.2% | 24.6% | 27.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 23.4% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.