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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.72+2.39vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+1.68vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.37+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.02+0.49vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97-0.47vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-1.48vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.15-2.72vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.66-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Bates College0.7220.4%1st Place
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3.68Fairfield University0.4219.1%1st Place
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5.29Middlebury College-0.376.7%1st Place
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4.49University of Vermont-0.0211.1%1st Place
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4.53Salve Regina University0.9711.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.7%1st Place
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4.28Maine Maritime Academy0.1514.1%1st Place
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5.82Brandeis University-0.665.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 20.4% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 19.1% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 21.6% |
| William Denker | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 9.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 9.7% |
| William Delong | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 7.5% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.