← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.08+1.89vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.93vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.57+0.75vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine2.22+0.40vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles1.72+0.18vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii3.36-3.44vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.74vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay0.32-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.89Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
-
3.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
3.75University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
-
4.4University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
-
5.18University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
-
2.56University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
-
6.26University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
-
7.03California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 24.9% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Keely Scates | 12.2% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 15.1% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Ashley Hobson | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 11.5% | 3.1% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 20.6% | 7.8% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 29.7% | 26.3% | 19.5% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 30.3% | 29.4% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 8.9% | 22.5% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.