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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+3.00vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.12vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.42+1.96vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38-0.86vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.59-0.49vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.26vs Predicted
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7Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-1.70vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.87-2.61vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.81-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1614.0%1st Place
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3.12University of Pennsylvania2.4223.4%1st Place
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4.96Fordham University1.429.0%1st Place
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3.14Cornell University2.3823.6%1st Place
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4.51University of Pennsylvania1.5910.8%1st Place
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6.26SUNY Maritime College0.764.8%1st Place
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5.3Palm Beach Atlantic University1.267.8%1st Place
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5.39Princeton University1.875.9%1st Place
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8.32Columbia University-0.810.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 23.4% | 22.0% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.2% |
| Bridget Green | 23.6% | 19.9% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| John Vail | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 28.3% | 11.5% |
| Thomas Green | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 3.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 5.1% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 11.7% | 73.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.