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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.88+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.27vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+1.13vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.54-0.56vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.25-0.80vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Cornell University1.8828.4%1st Place
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2.27University of Pennsylvania1.7736.3%1st Place
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3.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9715.8%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.174.6%1st Place
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4.44Fordham University0.547.4%1st Place
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5.2SUNY Maritime College-0.253.8%1st Place
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5.24Princeton University-0.323.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 28.4% | 26.5% | 25.2% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 36.3% | 27.6% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 15.8% | 19.9% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 22.2% | 27.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 13.3% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 25.7% | 27.7% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 23.2% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.