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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.88+1.48vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+2.17vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.54+0.46vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.79vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.25-0.79vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Cornell University1.8828.1%1st Place
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2.3University of Pennsylvania1.7734.4%1st Place
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5.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.174.9%1st Place
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4.46Fordham University0.547.7%1st Place
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3.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9716.4%1st Place
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5.21SUNY Maritime College-0.254.0%1st Place
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5.16Princeton University-0.324.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 28.1% | 29.1% | 21.3% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 34.4% | 27.8% | 20.1% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 23.2% | 28.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 7.7% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 21.4% | 18.9% | 12.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 16.4% | 19.0% | 23.3% | 19.7% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 23.5% | 29.3% |
| Carly Mraz | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 24.6% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.