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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.68+3.21vs Predicted
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2Bentley University1.82+4.53vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+2.04vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.16+1.58vs Predicted
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5Bentley University1.82+1.53vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.06-0.32vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.05-1.20vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.71-1.29vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34-4.00vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.83-3.47vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-0.31vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-0.15-0.87vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.86-3.79vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.86-4.79vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Northeastern University2.680.2%1st Place
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6.53Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.04Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.58Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.53Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.68Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.8Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.71Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.0Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.53Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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11.13Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.860.0%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.860.0%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Goodrich | 17.7% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 12.2% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 24.4% | 32.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 21.9% | 41.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Stratton | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Stratton | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.