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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.05+7.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University-0.30+10.70vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+4.39vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.08+4.57vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.48+5.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.96+2.69vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.97-1.85vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.56-1.28vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.02-3.80vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.56+0.19vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-5.67vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.18-4.18vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.25-2.00vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.71-4.36vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-8.30vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-0.20-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Bowdoin College0.055.8%1st Place
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12.7Harvard University-0.301.8%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.247.0%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College1.084.9%1st Place
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10.37Boston University0.482.6%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University0.964.7%1st Place
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5.15Boston College1.9715.3%1st Place
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6.72Boston College1.569.4%1st Place
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5.2Boston College2.0212.9%1st Place
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10.19Boston University0.563.0%1st Place
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5.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.9311.2%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University1.185.6%1st Place
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11.0Boston University0.252.5%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University0.713.5%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.458.2%1st Place
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12.39Harvard University-0.201.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Alexander Lee | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 31.6% |
| Alex Abate | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| William Wiegand | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 15.3% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| Maks Groom | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.