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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.68+3.22vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.06+3.85vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.34+2.07vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.83+2.50vs Predicted
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5Bentley University1.82+1.42vs Predicted
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6Bentley University1.82+0.42vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.36-2.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.16-2.48vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.05-3.19vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12+0.71vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.71-4.22vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.86-3.05vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.86-5.05vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00-6.12vs Predicted
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17Brandeis University-0.15-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Northeastern University2.680.2%1st Place
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5.85Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.07Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.5Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.42Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.42Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.95Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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10.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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6.78Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.860.0%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.860.0%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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11.34Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Goodrich | 17.6% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 27.1% | 31.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Stratton | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Stratton | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 23.2% | 44.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.