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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University1.82+5.56vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.68+2.20vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.34+2.08vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.06+1.80vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.86+3.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.16-0.48vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.05-1.21vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.71-1.21vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.83-2.44vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.36-5.01vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00-2.43vs Predicted
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12Bentley University1.82-5.44vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-2.15vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.86-5.07vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University-0.15-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.2Northeastern University2.680.2%1st Place
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5.08Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.8Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.860.0%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.79Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.56Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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4.99Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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6.56Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
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10.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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8.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.860.0%1st Place
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11.36Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Vickerson | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 17.8% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 9.9% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Stratton | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 13.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 26.8% | 33.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Stratton | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 20.6% | 46.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.