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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+4.07vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.32vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.18+3.92vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.97+0.26vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+1.46vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.56+3.10vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.71+1.62vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.56-2.47vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.96-1.30vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.08-2.28vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.30+0.77vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.05-4.81vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.20-1.53vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.48-4.84vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.25-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Boston College2.0214.9%1st Place
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5.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.9312.8%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.458.3%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University1.186.0%1st Place
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5.26Boston College1.9713.0%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.245.8%1st Place
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10.1Boston University0.563.3%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University0.713.8%1st Place
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6.53Boston College1.568.6%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University0.964.4%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College1.085.0%1st Place
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12.77Harvard University-0.302.0%1st Place
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8.19Bowdoin College0.054.8%1st Place
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12.47Harvard University-0.201.5%1st Place
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10.16Boston University0.483.5%1st Place
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10.95Boston University0.252.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Alex Abate | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Nick Budington | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Alexander Lee | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 32.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 27.4% |
| William Wiegand | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.