← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.16+4.58vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.68+2.16vs Predicted
-
3Bentley University1.82+3.57vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.36+0.99vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.05+0.75vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.34-1.01vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12+3.62vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.06-2.26vs Predicted
-
9Bentley University1.82-2.43vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.71-4.10vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.83-5.56vs Predicted
-
13Brandeis University-0.15-1.85vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00-5.11vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-4.38vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.86-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.58Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
-
4.16Northeastern University2.680.2%1st Place
-
6.57Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
-
4.99Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
5.75Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
-
4.99Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
-
10.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
-
5.74Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
-
6.57Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
-
6.9Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
-
6.44Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
-
11.15Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
-
10.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
-
9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Sommi | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 17.1% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 12.5% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 23.6% | 32.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 22.2% | 42.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 23.6% | 32.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Stratton | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.