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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.08+7.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.18+5.86vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+2.25vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+1.36vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.56+4.90vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.02-0.94vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.39vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.56-1.33vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.71+0.65vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.25+1.11vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.05-2.66vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.48-1.75vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.30-0.21vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-6.60vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.96-6.46vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-0.20-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.73Bowdoin College1.084.3%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University1.186.2%1st Place
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5.25Boston College1.9714.0%1st Place
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5.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.9311.9%1st Place
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9.9Boston University0.563.9%1st Place
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5.06Boston College2.0214.1%1st Place
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6.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.457.3%1st Place
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6.67Boston College1.569.0%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University0.714.7%1st Place
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11.11Boston University0.252.1%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College0.054.8%1st Place
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10.25Boston University0.482.6%1st Place
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12.79Harvard University-0.301.6%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.247.1%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University0.964.2%1st Place
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12.47Harvard University-0.202.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Chance | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 14.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| William Wiegand | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% |
| Alexander Lee | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 30.3% |
| Alex Abate | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.