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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.27+1.77vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.50-0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.68-0.32vs Predicted
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6Washington University0.86-2.59vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.02-2.39vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.58-1.60vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.11-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Wisconsin1.270.3%1st Place
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2.46Indiana University1.500.3%1st Place
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3.68University of Wisconsin0.680.1%1st Place
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3.41Washington University0.860.2%1st Place
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4.61Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.67Marquette University-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Jamieson | 25.8% | 24.5% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Najwa Jumali | 31.8% | 26.0% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| David Meyerson | 12.4% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 2.3% |
| Katherine Palmer | 16.2% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 1.9% |
| David Mirkhaef | 5.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 25.6% | 11.7% |
| Alex Mayo | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 13.5% | 72.2% |
| Davis Dolson | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 21.3% | 30.9% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.