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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.36+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.22+2.41vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.08-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.72+1.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.10vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.01+0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.57-3.18vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.32-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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4.41University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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2.98Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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3.82University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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7.04California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 33.6% | 25.3% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Hobson | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 21.6% | 23.1% | 20.9% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 23.0% | 20.5% | 8.8% |
| Keely Scates | 11.8% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 29.0% | 26.5% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 14.3% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Janet Rumsey | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 23.1% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.