← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University0.97+3.48vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont-0.02+2.55vs Predicted
-
3Fairfield University0.42+0.64vs Predicted
-
4Bates College0.72-0.58vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-0.37+0.40vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-1.57vs Predicted
-
7Brandeis University-0.66-1.19vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.48Salve Regina University0.9711.7%1st Place
-
4.55University of Vermont-0.0211.7%1st Place
-
3.64Fairfield University0.4219.1%1st Place
-
3.42Bates College0.7220.3%1st Place
-
5.4Middlebury College-0.376.3%1st Place
-
4.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0212.8%1st Place
-
5.81Brandeis University-0.665.2%1st Place
-
4.27Maine Maritime Academy0.1512.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.7% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 9.0% |
| William Denker | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 19.1% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Jett Lindelof | 20.3% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Penelope Weekes | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 22.9% |
| William Delong | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 32.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 12.9% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.