← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.27+1.55vs Predicted
-
4Washington University1.78-2.05vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-1.58+0.88vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University0.02-1.87vs Predicted
-
7University of Iowa-1.69-0.92vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin0.68-5.74vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University-0.11-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55University of Wisconsin1.270.3%1st Place
-
1.95Washington University1.780.4%1st Place
-
5.88University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
-
4.13Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
-
6.08University of Iowa-1.690.0%1st Place
-
3.26University of Wisconsin0.680.1%1st Place
-
4.14Marquette University-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Jamieson | 27.2% | 25.7% | 23.5% | 15.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| James Harvey | 41.7% | 33.7% | 15.3% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Mayo | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 33.0% | 42.0% |
| David Mirkhaef | 6.9% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 21.8% | 28.5% | 15.0% | 3.1% |
| Dillan Newbold | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 30.0% | 49.2% |
| David Meyerson | 14.7% | 16.5% | 25.0% | 23.0% | 14.3% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Davis Dolson | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 21.8% | 28.4% | 14.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.