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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.56+5.77vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.97+3.13vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.39vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+3.48vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.08+3.67vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.02-0.88vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.18+0.80vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.56+2.04vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.96-0.26vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.71-0.36vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-4.36vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.20+0.55vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.05-4.84vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.48-3.84vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.30-2.37vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.25-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Boston College1.567.4%1st Place
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5.13Boston College1.9714.4%1st Place
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5.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.9312.8%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.246.0%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College1.084.6%1st Place
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5.12Boston College2.0214.4%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University1.186.0%1st Place
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10.04Boston University0.563.4%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University0.964.9%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University0.713.3%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.458.0%1st Place
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12.55Harvard University-0.201.5%1st Place
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8.16Bowdoin College0.056.1%1st Place
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10.16Boston University0.483.2%1st Place
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12.63Harvard University-0.301.8%1st Place
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11.06Boston University0.252.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Joslin | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Alex Abate | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 6.6% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 28.7% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| William Wiegand | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Alexander Lee | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 29.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.