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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Wisconsin1.27+0.52vs Predicted
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3Washington University1.78-1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-1.69+2.01vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.68-1.71vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.02-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.58-2.06vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.11-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Wisconsin1.270.3%1st Place
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1.94Washington University1.780.4%1st Place
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6.01University of Iowa-1.690.0%1st Place
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3.29University of Wisconsin0.680.1%1st Place
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4.13Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.18Marquette University-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Jamieson | 27.6% | 27.1% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| James Harvey | 43.7% | 30.6% | 16.7% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dillan Newbold | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 30.9% | 47.8% |
| David Meyerson | 13.0% | 17.7% | 24.9% | 23.3% | 15.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| David Mirkhaef | 6.0% | 9.3% | 17.4% | 23.3% | 25.4% | 14.3% | 4.3% |
| Alex Mayo | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 33.7% | 42.2% |
| Davis Dolson | 6.4% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 20.1% | 30.6% | 14.3% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.